One of the enjoyable things about estimating the future is there is always a new consideration. It is a dynamic task that is never done. This is especially true in analyzing the future of enterprise technology, where things are always moving fast. We try to find balance in tracking the future of technology by focusing on the metatrends, those very powerful forces that sweep over us all (whether we want them to or not). Megatrends change, but not as fast as the rapidly changing offerings of the tech ecosystem. This allows us to make predictions with a bit more certainty than trying to predict which product or solution or company will dominate. This approach enables a degree of certainty supportive of most strategic planning efforts, even if it does not provide precision around timing or exact manifestation of solutions.
Find our Reports on the Business of Technology at:
- CTOvision Assessment On The Megatrend of Cloud Computing
- CTOvision Assessment On The Megatrend of Artificial Intelligence
- CTOvision Assessment On The Megatrend of Mobility
- CTOvision Assessment On The Megatrend of Bigdata
- CTOvision Assessment On The Megatrend of Robotics
- CTOvision Assessment On The Megatrend of the Internet of Things
- CTOvision Assessment On The Megatrend of Cybersecurity
As you leverage our special reports keep in mind that we focus on the business impact of technology, and that very often leads us to discussion about the high tech firms bringing technology to enterprises. There are two other big concepts we want you to think about as you consider high tech firms, both come from the world of biology.
The two constructs from biology to think about regarding enterprise tech are: The Cambrian Explosion and a Malthusian Problem.
The Cambrian Explosion is was a period of rapid evolution and an explosion of life. The Cambrian Explosion began around 542 million years ago. Every living plant or animal today can trace its roots to the startups that began then.
A Malthusian Problem is when a population has outpaced the amount of resources required to support the population, resulting in catastrophe for most. The Malthusian Problem was articulated by Thomas Malthus in 1779 based on observation of famine, and, although Malthus never seems to have had an accurate prediction regarding human population growth and sustainment, he made a pretty clear case that if a population grows too large the result can be catastrophe.
In enterprise IT we have seen the Cambrian Explosion part of this equation, with 1,000’s of companies existing to address enterprise tech needs.
Will the Malthusian Problem part of this equation kick in? If it hits, which tech providers will thrive and which will perish? And what should the enterprise CTO do about it?
These are open questions of course. But if you ever have any context you can share on their answers or what we should do about it please let us all know!
As we track these topics we will continue providing our context here and in our tech directory. Be sure you are signed up to our daily and monthly reports for updates. Do that at: https://ctovision.com/newsletter-subscriptions/
Other Insights and Reporting for the Enterprise Technologist: